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How to Predict Recurrence After Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Natalie Petruch, Louisa Bolm, Martina Nebbia, Shahrzad Arya, Marco Ventin, Motaz Qadan, Nahel Elias, Jannis Duhn, Dirk Rades, Leigh A. Dageforde, Kenneth T. Tanabe, Joseph Franses, Vikram Deshpande, Ulrich F. Wellner, Tobias Keck, Onofrio Catalano, Cristina R. Ferrone*

*Corresponding author for this work

Abstract

Background/Aim: Predictors of recurrence following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are not fully established. This study investigated potential risk factors and prognostic scores for this situation. Patients and Methods: In 297 patients undergoing resection of HCC between 2000 and 2021, risk scores and potential additional risk factors for intrahepatic and extrahepatic recurrence were assessed. Results: Median overall survival was 48.4 months, median time to recurrence 25.1 months. The Alpha-Fetoprotein (AFP)-score differentiated between low and high-risk groups (21.8 vs. 8.3 months, p=0.001), as did the Risk Estimation of Tumor Recurrence After Transplant (RETREAT)-score (16 vs. 9 months, p=0.004) and the Clinical Risk Score (CRS) (14.9 vs. 3.9 months, p=0.002). Advanced T-stage, multiple lesions, and vessel infiltration were significantly associated with any type of recurrence, advanced T-stage, and multiple lesions with intrahepatic recurrence. Conclusion: Predictors of recurrence following resection of HCC were identified. Prognostic scores traditionally used for patients receiving liver transplantation (AFP-score, RETREAT-score, CRS) were predictive also of recurrence after resection of HCC.

Original languageEnglish
JournalAnticancer Research
Volume45
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)189-199
Number of pages11
ISSN0250-7005
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01.2025

Funding

FundersFunder number
Deutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftBO-5659

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
      SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

    DFG Research Classification Scheme

    • 2.22-14 Hematology, Oncology
    • 2.22-25 General and Visceral Surgery

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