Comparison of diagnosis-specific survival scores for patients with cerebral metastases from malignant melanoma including the new WBRT-30-MM

Background/Aim: Diagnosis-specific scoring systems developed for predicting survival of patients with cerebral metastases from malignant melanoma (MM) were evaluated. Patients and Methods: The new whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT)-30-MM was created in homogeneously treated patients receiving 10×3 Gy of WBRT for cerebral metastases from MM. It consisted of three groups with significantly different 6-month survival rates of 0% (3-5 points), 30% (7 points) and 52% (9 points) (p=0.001). The WBRT-30-MM was compared to three other scores created for cerebral metastases from MM, including first updated DS-GPA classification, Dziggel-Score and Sehmisch-Score. Results: Positive predictive values (PPVs) for predicting death ≤6 months after WBRT were 100% (WBRT-30-MM), 77% (DS-GPA), 69% (Dziggel-Score) and 73% (Sehmisch-Score). PPVs for predicting survival ≥6 months were 52%, 38%, 63% and 75%, respectively. Conclusion: WBRT-30MM was the most accurate instrument for predicting death ≤6 months. For predicting survival ≥6 months, Sehmisch-Score was most accurate, although all existing scorring systems appeared suboptimal for this purpose.