Probabilistic Mission Impact Assessment based on Widespread Local Events

Alexander Motzek, Ralf Möller, Mona Lange, Samuel Dubus

Abstract

Assessing and understanding the impact of scattered and widespread events onto a mission is an ongoing problem. Current approaches employ score-based algorithms leading to spurious results. This paper provides a formal, mathematical model for mission impact assessment. Based on this model we reduce mission impact assessment of widespread local events to a well-understood mathematical problem. Following a probabilistic approach, we present a feasible solution to this problem and evaluate the solution experimentally. We put high care in only using actually available data and kinds of expertise.
OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seitenumfang13
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 01.06.2015
VeranstaltungProceedings of the NATO IST-128 Workshop: Assessing Mission Impact of Cyberattacks - Istanbul, Türkei
Dauer: 15.06.201517.06.2015

Tagung, Konferenz, Kongress

Tagung, Konferenz, KongressProceedings of the NATO IST-128 Workshop: Assessing Mission Impact of Cyberattacks
Land/GebietTürkei
OrtIstanbul
Zeitraum15.06.1517.06.15

DFG-Fachsystematik

  • 409-06 Informationssysteme, Prozess- und Wissensmanagement

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