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Coupled infectious disease and behavior dynamics. A review of model assumptions

Andreas Reitenbach, Fabio Sartori, Sven Banisch, Anastasia Golovin, André Calero Valdez, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Viola Priesemann, Michael Mäs

Abstract

To comprehend the dynamics of infectious disease transmission, it is imperative to incorporate human protective behavior into models of disease spreading. While models exist for both infectious disease and behavior dynamics independently, the integration of these aspects has yet to yield a cohesive body of literature. Such an integration is crucial for gaining insights into phenomena like the rise of infodemics, the polarization of opinions regarding vaccines, and the dissemination of conspiracy theories during a pandemic. We make a threefold contribution. First, we introduce a framework todescribemodels coupling infectious disease and behavior dynamics, delineating four distinct update functions. Reviewing existing literature, we highlight a substantial diversity in the implementation of each update function. This variation, coupled with a dearth of model comparisons, renders the literature hardly informative for researchers seeking to develop models tailored to specific populations, infectious diseases, and forms of protection. Second, we advocate an approach tocomparingmodels' assumptions about human behavior, the model aspect characterized by the strongest disagreement. Rather than representing the psychological complexity of decision-making, we show that 'influence-response functions' allow one to identify which model differences generate different disease dynamics and which do not, guiding both model development and empirical research testing model assumptions. Third, we propose recommendations for future modeling endeavors and empirical research aimed atselectingmodels of coupled infectious disease and behavior dynamics. We underscore the importance of incorporating empirical approaches from the social sciences to propel the literature forward.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
ZeitschriftReports on progress in physics. Physical Society (Great Britain)
Jahrgang88
Ausgabenummer1
ISSN0034-4885
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 16.12.2024

UN SDGs

Dieser Output leistet einen Beitrag zu folgendem(n) Ziel(en) für nachhaltige Entwicklung

  1. SDG 3 – Gesundheit und Wohlergehen
    SDG 3 – Gesundheit und Wohlergehen
  2. SDG 4 – Qualitativ hochwertige Bildung
    SDG 4 – Qualitativ hochwertige Bildung
  3. SDG 8 – Angemessene Arbeitsbedingungen und wirtschaftliches Wachstum
    SDG 8 – Angemessene Arbeitsbedingungen und wirtschaftliches Wachstum
  4. SDG 9 – Industrie, Innovation und Infrastruktur
    SDG 9 – Industrie, Innovation und Infrastruktur
  5. SDG 11 – Nachhaltige Städte und Gemeinschaften
    SDG 11 – Nachhaltige Städte und Gemeinschaften
  6. SDG 13 – Klimaschutz
    SDG 13 – Klimaschutz
  7. SDG 16 – Frieden, Gerechtigkeit und verlässliche Institutionen
    SDG 16 – Frieden, Gerechtigkeit und verlässliche Institutionen

Strategische Forschungsbereiche und Zentren

  • Forschungsschwerpunkt: Infektion und Entzündung - Zentrum für Infektions- und Entzündungsforschung Lübeck (ZIEL)

DFG-Fachsystematik

  • 1.22-05 Persönlichkeitspsychologie, Klinische und Medizinische Psychologie, Methoden

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